Gandalf had been trying to find a solution to the Smaug problem for a while:
"The state of things in the North was very bad. The Kingdom under the Mountain and the strong Men of Dale were no more. To resist any force that Sauron might send to regain the northern passes in the mountains and the old lands of Angmar there were only the Dwarves of the Iron Hills, and behind them lay a desolation and a Dragon.
The Dragon Sauron might use with terrible effect. Often I said to myself: 'I must find some means of dealing with Smaug. But a direct stroke against Dol Guldur is needed still more. We must disturb Sauron's plans. I must make the Council see that.' [...]
When you think of the great Battle of Pelennor, do not forget the Battle of Dale. Think of what might have been. Dragon-fire and savage swords in Eriador! There might be no Queen in Gondor."
The Unfinished Tales, The Quest of Erebor
There is no indication that Gandalf had a particular individual in mind when he referred to "a mighty Warrior, even a Hero". I interpret this quote as being about any warrior or just help in general.
Concerning the quote that "warriors are busy fighting one another in distant lands", I'm not so sure. The obvious meaning is that Gandalf was allied with two or more factions but that they were fighting each other. If that is the case, I am unaware of who he is referring to. There are no major wars going on at that time.
It is more likely that it refers to a general apathy that Gandalf was struggling with in the South. He had been trying to attack Dol Guldur for years without success, being countered by Saruman at every turn.
The might of Gondor was no more: they had been pounded over the centuries from all sides and had lost major cities (Osgiliath and Minas Ithil) and territories. Only 60 years before, the White Tree had died in Minas Tirith and South Ithilien was invaded and ravaged by the Haradrim. Aragorn was only 11 years old and there were no indication that he would rally the people of Gondor and become King.
Nobody cared about a dragon in a lonely mountain but Gandalf.