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How did Cersei devise a plan to deceive everyone into thinking she will send her army North to help fight the White Walkers?

Her plan involved getting Euron Greyjoy to feign fear of the wight and depart back to his island like a coward. Yet Cersei couldn't have known about the captured wight. She confirms that the plan was preconceived when she explained to Jaime that Euron was bluffing when he left and was in fact being sent to retrieve the mercenary army from Essos. "No one walks away from me" she proudly boasts. But how could she have set up such a plan that involved a wight she never knew existed?

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    The plan was probably "find something to get piss about or scared of and stomp off" – amflare Aug 28 '17 at 21:21
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    Cersei knew the whole point of the meeting was to provide proof of the threat beyond the wall. She probably instructed Euron: "whatever it is, act like you believe it and don't want anything to do with the war after it." – starpilotsix Aug 28 '17 at 21:22
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    @Edlothiad While interesting, that doesn't have any bearing... he could still have been told to act afraid and go off to get mercenaries while Cersei pretends there's a truce, and just happened to actually be afraid when he saw the undead. – starpilotsix Aug 28 '17 at 23:10
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    @starpilotsix you're reaching sir. "He could have lost all fear on the walk to his fleet and got a quick raven from Cersei with instructions to go retrieve the Merc army too I guess. Or one of his soldiers could be having an affair with Melisandra who put a spell on him that causes him to convince Euron that Cersai wants him to go to Essos?." This all sounds ridiculous because none of it is supported by the given circumstances. Let's only work with what we have/know. – Nathaniel Wade Aug 28 '17 at 23:56
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    @NathanielWade I do believe you're the one who's reaching, considering "Cersei said it was all a ploy" and "it was a ploy" seem to be a fairly conventional reading of the circumstances and what they knew going into the meeting... you're the one who suggests that it "doesn't fit" – starpilotsix Aug 29 '17 at 0:13
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Cersei didn't know about the captured wight, but she did know that Dany and Jon would make the case for a truce based on the undead threat and that they'd provide evidence. From "Eastwatch."

JAIME: Daenerys wants to meet.

CERSEI: To discuss her surrender?

JAIME: To discuss an armistice.

CERSEI: She's just won a great victory. Why would she want a truce now?

JAIME: Because an army of dead men is marching on the Seven Kingdoms. Tyrion claims he'll have proof.

So to begin with, it's hardly a stretch to hear "The Targaryen girl is bringing evidence that a dead army is coming" and assume the evidence will be a dead soldier. Cersei has a dead Gregor Clegane as a bodyguard, she's not a stranger to such matters.

But even without knowing about the wight, Cersei could've simply instructed Euron that no matter how flimsy the evidence was, pretend to believe in the undead threat and pretend to flee. It's likely she was banking on the fact that Ironborn are stereotyped to be ignorant savages to help sell the deception (not to mention their belief in an undead god).

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    Ironborn are stereotyped as Fickle, who will betray their allies and switch allegiances as it suits them. No one has ever called them savages. And their reputation as being fickle would help their enemies believe that Ironborn have once again followed proud Ironborn traditions of switching sides. Other than that, this is the answer +1 – Aegon Aug 29 '17 at 9:53
  • And Euron was looking to pick a fight from the very start of the meeting - e.g. randomly shouting out at Theon before they even started, to Cersei's irritation. I'm guessing on second viewing her reaction will look more like she's thinking "FFS Euron, when I said look for an excuse to storm off, I hoped you'd be less obvious about it" – user568458 Aug 29 '17 at 16:56
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Because it was the obvious choice.

Even before the season finale started, I was expecting Cersei to pull this move. It's a really common trope for the villain of a plot to not honor a deal that he makes with the hero. If anything, it further cements them as the villain.
Which is basically what happened, when you consider Jaime's point of view, Cersei's betrayal of the truce is the straw that breaks the camel's back and shows Jaime that Cersei is beyond reasoning (or salvation, for that matter).

Cersei's threat of having the Mountain cut Jaime down of course further exacerbates Jaime's feelings towards Cersei, but it's important to note that she only used that threat when Jaime already decided to leave. Cersei's threat basically turned Jaime's temporary absence (fighting in the North, then returning to KL) into a permanent absence (which we'll see in season 8). Why would he go back to someone who just threatened to kill him? Even if he called her bluff, she might not be as reluctant a second time.

Cersei's decision isn't anything groundbreaking. She probably already considered it from the second she was made aware of a truce being on the table. In all honesty, Tyrion should be aware of this too, even if Danaerys and Jon are not. Tyrion knows his sister well enough, and Cersei's move seems very Tywinian.
The next season will shed some light on this, but I'll be disappointed if no one on Dany and Jon's side has considered it to at least be possible for Cersei to pull this move.


Euron actually somewhat proves this point. Even before the wight was shown, he already acted out of line.

  • He called out Theon and came across as egocentric and focused on his personal vendetta (almost comically missing the point of the meeting).
  • Cersei then told him to sit down or leave, thus "proving" to the participants that Euron and Cersei weren't closely allied.

Given that Cersei had told Euron to fetch the Golden Company, it stands to reason that Euron's behavior was not unexpected by Cersei. Cersei even has a very good reason to pretend like Euron is a dog without a leash, who then hightails it out of the meeting: it makes the other participants think that Cersei's position is suddenly and unexpectedly weakened.

Also note that while Cersei may not be convinced that the Walkers are real, she should correctly acknowledge that Danaerys and Jon's appearance in King's Landing means that they will have some form of believable evidence (believable enough for Euron to walk away like he did).
Euron's earlier misbehaving actually helps sell that point. If Dany and Jon had only brought circumstantial evidence (e.g. a dead wight), Euron could believably still hightail it out of there out of a sense of self preservation (showcasing his selfishness was the main result of him interrupting Tyrion to address Theon about something insignificant, relatively speaking).

Cersei is basically doing what Theon did in the fistfight later on. He put himself in the position of a weak contender, and gave his opponent a clear shot at a clear weak spot (his groin). The opponent was so confused by his cheap shot not working, that he overplays his hand (trying it again and again, almost forgetting about the fight and being distracted by Theon's seemingly uncrushable genitals) thus giving Theon the opening he needed to win.

Similarly, Cersei was hoping to make Danaerys think that she has a weak spot (no more Iron fleet), which makes her think that Cersei will either easily be outmatched, or more likely to accept peace over war. And in that portrayal of weakness, Cersei can sneak up on Danaerys with Euron and the Golden Company.

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