5

When Jessica and Paul have just escaped to the desert, they speculate that Duncan Idaho could be tortured to reveal their location. Duncan later dies defending them from a Sardaukar attack. However, when Nefud reports back to the Baron about the escape of Paul and Jessica, the Baron asks "The man Idaho led us to them, then?".

I probably missed something, but did Duncan Idaho betray Jessica and Paul, or did the Harokonnen use other means to find the fugitives?

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    The implication is that Duncan was being followed. There is certainly nothing in the text to suggest that he deliberately betrayed them. – Harry Johnston May 19 at 21:37
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    I've read this book several times, and while I don't remember this particular exchange, it is impossible for me to believe he betrayed them and I know he didn't. If he had it would have been cataclysmic and mentioned over and over later in the book and its sequels. In later books in the series Duncan Idaho is considered so loyal he gets reincarnated as gholas to be an advisor to the God Emperor. Dr. Yueh DID betray the Atredeis and earned the refrain: "Yueh! Yueh! Yueh! A million deaths were not enough for Yueh!" – user2609404 May 20 at 4:39
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Idaho was moving around in stolen ornithopter (one mentioned in Baron's and Piter's conversation in the presence of Duke Leto), so Harkonnens had pretty good idea who could that be ("Halleck, Hawat. Possibly Idaho."). And when he went to fetch Kynes - which was his second flight - on the way back they were attacked by Harkonnens. Since attack was defeated using decoy and big shield, the result was noticeable:

"That blast will attract considerable attention, Sire," Idaho said.

So Harkonnens had approximate location for search of something and if there was any report that it was that stolen 'thopter, they made sure to be thorough.

And then there's this:

A Fremen emerged from the hidden area of the chamber, spoke to Kynes: "Liet, the field-generator equipment is not working. I am unable to mask us from proximity detectors."

I think the three facts: stolen 'thopter, that it was done by someone highly skilled and someone operated in the desert with working shield basically screams what is going on. Not sure if Piter was still alive at that time, but there is no need for a mentat to figure that one out, anyway.

As to your more specific question (the one referencing Baron's (..)lead to them(...), I think it needs to be interpreted in broad context of search for Jessica and Paul after it was discovered they slipped Harkonnen's grip, and NOT in specific context of some scheme. Baron is not beneath or above making any of his statements seemingly based on his own predictions, so it may equally well be an image-related, and not performance-related (if one can call it such).

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