is there a good estimate on how many people (wizards, muggles or both) perished in both Wizarding Wars (the Voldemort ones)?

I'm fine if the Death Eater side is included, either as a separate #, or part of total.

There seems to be a lot, based on 3 quotes:

... Inferi have not been seen for a long time, however, not since Voldemort was last powerful ...He killed enough people to make an army of them, of course. (Albus Dumbledore in HP6 about Inferi and Voldemort)

...

The battle is won. You have lost half of your fighters. My Death Eaters outnumber you... (Voldemort announcing Harry Potter's death)

...

There was enough wizard blood spilled (quote from memory so inexact - Voldemort explaining why he'd rather accept Neville Longbottom to his service than kill him at the end of Battle of Hogwarts in HP7)

Related: How many people actually participated in the original Voldemort conflict?

up vote 4 down vote accepted

The only data we have on the subject seems to be be dlanod's quote about disppearences every week (for ~500 weeks) and a quote form the books:

Pettigrew screamed that Sirius had betrayed the Potters for everyone to hear, and then killed twelve Muggles by blowing up the street with a Blasting Curse, which created a crater large enough that the sewer pipes were showing.

so if we say in a 1 on 1 duel there's the possibility for one death of a wizard and ~10 muggles. As well as this if groups fight as in the the Battle of the Department of Mysteries, then we have this source

Once there, the six D.A. members were cornered by a dozen Death Eaters, whom they managed to fend off until the Order of the Phoenix came to their rescue. In the skirmish, the prophecy was destroyed, Voldemort was seen by the Minister for Magic himself, eleven of the Death Eaters were captured, and Sirius Black was killed by his cousin.

Only one death again! Wizards can hold their own it seems. I'm inclined to say if Voldemort has his wits about him he'd go for pin-point strikes on wizarding families (less well defended than DA and Phoenix members) as well as more defended targets, whether on purpose or by happenstance.

I'd average it out to 5 wizards and 10 muggles a week, on average, as a maximum bound, any more is unsustainable. And 1:5 as a lower bound; Volde' doesn't like to shed wizarding blood if he can.

That then equates to 500 - 2,500 wizards, and 1,000-5,000 muggles. In total this is about 1.5K-7.5K, well within the standard deviation of the deaths per year in the UK, 1970-1981 so should have gone undetected statistically.

I'd guestimate we have significantly fewer for the second war, only a handful (maximum ~50?) though I'm shakey on the specifics. Most of these I think would be form the Battle of Hogwarts.

So I'd say ~1.6K-7.6K humans died during the two wizarding wars, most of the giants, and very few other magical beings to my knowledge.

I would put any decent estimate at least in the 1000s, if not the 10000s. The war lasted for 11 years and, as Sirius said, "Every week, news comes of more deaths, more disappearances". If we take him literally, that's over 500 weeks of deaths and disappearances, and he was only referring to wizarding families. By all accounts similar numbers of Muggles were murdered.

Source

  • I could imagine the number of deaths per week started out small since there were fewer Death Eaters at beginning of the First Wizarding War. The weekly death toll probably increased as the war dragged on and more people joined Voldemort's side. – RichS Aug 4 '17 at 15:18
  • Thanks for mentioning the Sirius quote. Can you say which book that came from? Was it Order of the Phoenix? – RichS Aug 4 '17 at 15:19

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